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Betting Articles Archive

Pinnacle Sports produces regular in-depth analysis for both the betting and sporting worlds. Covering everything from soccer to eSports, our articles investigate anything and everything that could be of interest to sports bettors. If you have an article suggestion, comment or query, please contact content@pinnaclesports.com.

Links: 2014 World Cup | Baseball | Basketball | Boxing | eSports | Football | Formula 1 | Golf | Hockey | MMA | Other | Other Markets | Pinnacle Puzzle | Psychology | Rugby | Soccer | Social Media | Strategy | Tennis |


2014 World Cup

15 Apr 14 - Argentina should breeze through Group F
15 Apr 14 - France heavy favourites to top Group E
23 Dec 13 - Will England qualify in tough Group D?
19 Dec 13 - Will the conditions favour Group C favourites Colombia?
18 Dec 13 - Is historical performance useful for predicting the World Cup winner?
16 Dec 13 - Spain, Netherlands and Chile face-off in Tough Group B
16 Dec 13 - Hosts Brazil favourites to win Group A
10 Dec 13 - Factors to consider before selecting a World Cup Golden Boot winner

Baseball

18 Mar 14 - Where the value is in 2014 MLB betting
21 Oct 13 - Particulars to be aware of when betting the 2013 MLB World Series
03 Oct 13 - How playoff baseball differs from regular season MLB betting
30 Sep 13 - How sudden death baseball differs from regular season MLB
08 Feb 13 - A look at World Baseball Classic futures
04 Apr 12 - First half (five innings) MLB strategies
04 Mar 12 - Profitable opportunities from MLB runline bets
04 Feb 12 - Strategies for betting on team totals

Basketball

05 Apr 14 - How to find value in NCAA Basketball betting
04 Apr 14 - Lead NBA Trader shares thoughts heading Into Playoffs
11 Oct 13 - Five great reasons to bet on the 2013/14 EuroLeague
11 Oct 13 - 2013/14 NBA outright odds preview
27 Jun 13 - NBA trader analysis odds movement for 2013 Finals
25 Mar 13 - Understanding advanced basketball bet types
04 Mar 13 - Understand the basic bet types in basketball betting
23 Oct 12 - Do NBA teams perform poorly on long road streaks?

Boxing

09 Apr 14 - Odds suggest Pacquiao will avenge his defeat to Bradley
06 Sep 13 - Weight could prove decisive in Mayweather vs. Alvarez outcome
12 Apr 13 - Can Khan continue his recovery on home soil?
03 Apr 13 - Judah attempts to become World Champion
18 Mar 13 - Will Mayweather struggle against the southpaw?
14 Feb 13 - Undefeated Price favourite to beat veteran Thompson
17 Dec 12 - Will Cunningham gain his revenge?
10 Dec 12 - Money to be made if Pavlik can beat Ward
27 Nov 12 - Can Magee upset the odds for title match?
13 Nov 12 - Odds favour Pacquiao for fight four

eSports

06 Nov 13 - How map knowledge can help bettors turn a profit in Starcraft 2
06 Nov 13 - How a Starcraft 2 map can improve players’ chances of winning
06 Nov 13 - Introducing Hearthstone betting
11 Oct 13 - Identifying how to gain an eSports betting edge in LoL
03 Oct 13 - How the number of maps affects teams’ chances in eSports
24 Sep 13 - Why we sometimes overvalue the favourite in eSports
11 Jul 13 - Win more on eSports with parlays? Parlays eXplained
05 Feb 13 - eSports event calendar – for the latest eSports odds and fixtures
23 Jan 13 - League of Legends betting – an introduction
28 Nov 12 - Как раса влияет на cтавки на Starcraft
29 Oct 12 - An introduction to DOTA 2 betting
01 Oct 12 - Introducing Starcraft, Dota and eSports betting
15 Sep 12 - How race influences Starcraft Betting

Football

03 Sep 13 - Are the odds stacked against the preseason favourites?
03 Sep 13 - Landing on 3 & 7 in the NFL
03 Sep 13 - How to bet on the NFL
29 Jan 13 - An alternative way to bet on Super Bowl 47
25 Jan 13 - The most simple but misunderstood prop bet
09 Jan 13 - How to make a profit in niche NFL markets
08 Jan 13 - Debunking myths about HFA in NFL Playoff betting
04 Jan 13 - Exploring the myths about NFL teasers
12 Nov 12 - The effects of Monday Night games on NFL betting
12 Nov 12 - Can the Atlanta Falcons complete the perfect season?
19 Sep 12 - Player vs. player propositions
30 Aug 12 - Using yards per play rankings
04 Jul 12 - NFL pre-season profit
04 Aug 11 - Season Wins & Week 1 NFL Points Spreads

Formula 1

12 Mar 14 - Engines, Rules & new races; How to gain an edge in the 2014 F1 season
25 Feb 14 - What you should consider before betting on F1
03 Oct 13 - Tropical storm could upset the odds
20 Sep 13 - The Singapore Grand Prix: When the lights go down
05 Sep 13 - Pole vital around Monza
22 Aug 13 - Unpredictable weather a problem at Spa Circuit
25 Jul 13 - Qualifying vital at Hungaroring
05 Jul 13 - Who will profit from new tyres at German GP?
03 Jul 13 - Which drivers’ convert best from pole position?
14 Jun 13 - Qualifying good indicator of Silverstone performance
31 May 13 - Overtaking, incidents and chaos expected in Montreal
24 May 13 - Overtaking tough at Monaco street circuit
08 May 13 - Pole position the place to be at the Spanish GP
17 Apr 13 - Will desert conditions affect the Bahrain GP?
28 Mar 13 - Does pole position result in a win at Chinese GP?
20 Mar 13 - Will tyre management prove key in Kuala Lumpur?
11 Mar 13 - How reliable is qualifying as a race indicator?

Golf

07 Apr 14 - The Masters by numbers: 14 Masters trends
03 Apr 14 - Can McIlroy regain his major form?
03 Apr 14 - Mickelson chasing major greatness in 2014
01 Apr 14 - How many majors will Tiger Woods win in 2014?
12 Jul 13 - The British Open by numbers: 19 betting trends
10 Jun 13 - The US Open by numbers: 17 Trends
12 Apr 13 - The Masters by numbers: 14 Masters trends
08 Apr 13 - Luck in golf majors – an understated influence
22 Nov 12 - How many Majors will Woods or McIlroy win in 2013?
21 Aug 12 - Can Europe win the 2012 Ryder Cup in America?

Hockey

04 Mar 14 - How to bet live on NHL at Pinnacle Sports
30 Sep 13 - Penguins favourites for first Stanley Cup win since 2009
27 Sep 13 - How will the new format changes impact the season?
02 May 13 - Russia favourites to defend title
17 Jan 13 - How the short season affects NHL betting
01 Nov 12 - Hockey betting without the NHL

MMA

22 Apr 14 - The Freak vs. the Streak
11 Apr 14 - Can Werdum Slay the Giant at UFC Fight Night?
14 Mar 14 - Rematches, age & chasing bonuses in UFC
26 Feb 14 - How Fighters Respond to Championship Bout Hangover
18 Feb 14 - Why Ronda Rousey isn’t the outlier she appears to be
11 Feb 14 - Machida vs. Mousasi: What’s not in a win-loss record?
27 Jan 14 - How good is Renan Barao?
23 Jan 14 - Is Henderson overvalued based on his name alone?
17 Dec 13 - Should Anderson Silva be favoured in rematch vs. Chris Weidman?
09 Dec 13 - What do past championship rematches tell us about Johnson vs. Benavidez II?
02 Dec 13 - How will Bigfoot Silva adjust to a step-down in intensity?
07 Nov 13 - Could Hendricks be GSP’s greatest challenge at UFC 167?
10 Sep 13 - Odds & Numbers stacked up against Gustafsson at UFC 165
28 Aug 13 - Henderson favourite to avenge defeat
26 Jul 13 - Aldo favourite ahead of bout
17 Jul 13 - Can Johnson defend Flyweight title?
26 Jun 13 - Can Weidman end Silva’s dominance?
06 Jun 13 - Evans and Henderson fight for return to winning ways
30 May 13 - Werdum favourite to win rematch
22 May 13 - Will Cain maul ‘bigfoot’ again?
07 May 13 - Will Belfort remain undefeated in Brazil?
23 Apr 13 - Will Jones stay out of reach at UFC 159?
27 Mar 13 - Will Henderson prove he is the best 155lb fighter?
22 Mar 13 - Can Mousasi upset the odds on UFC debut?
11 Mar 13 - Can St. Pierre beat Diaz and retain his title?
13 Feb 13 - Rousey big favourite to win first UFC women’s bout
21 Jan 13 - Can Aldo live up to his favourite tag?
15 Jan 13 - Can the Mighty Mouse defeat The Magician?
28 Dec 12 - UFC on FX7 betting – can Bisping upset the favourite?
13 Dec 12 - UFC 155: Odds favour Heavyweight Champion in rematch
20 Nov 12 - UFC on FOX: Key fight statistics
19 Nov 12 - MMA betting more profitable than boxing?
08 Nov 12 - St-Pierre vs. Condit betting – key fight statistics
24 Oct 12 - Franklin vs. Le Betting: Can Le upset the odds?
01 Oct 12 - Silva vs Bonner betting: Silva’s biggest challenge
25 Sep 12 - Travis Browne vs. Antonio Silva: key battles
19 Sep 12 - Jon Jones vs. Vitor Belfort: five key numbers
05 Sep 12 - MMA history, betting & fighting styles

Other

24 Jan 14 - Streamlining the process of placing bets & updating odds
11 Jul 13 - Great reasons to Parlay at Pinnacle Sports
09 Jul 13 - How to pick the payment options that are right for you
24 Jun 13 - Improving Your Betting Experience
31 May 13 - An introduction to playing online Baccarat
23 May 13 - What Asian View offers live soccer bettors?
03 May 13 - Introducing Pinnacle Sports’ Asian View
10 Feb 13 - How one bettor showed his love for Pinnacle Sports

Other Markets

31 Jan 14 - Do statistics suggest previous award success presage an Oscar?
20 Jan 14 - Find the best Sochi 2014 Winter Olympics odds with Pinnacle Sports
20 Nov 13 - How understanding each Ashes ground could help you pick a winner
06 Nov 13 - Why Carlsen is favourite to dethrone five time champion, Anand
06 Nov 13 - Similarities between Bandy & Soccer provide opportunities for Bettors
11 Oct 13 - Will JC Tran Win World Series of Poker Main Event?
23 Sep 13 - Discussing WSOP short-stack chances… with the players
08 Jul 13 - Can England win third straight series on home soil?
10 May 13 - Eurovision by Numbers
12 Apr 13 - World Snooker Championship by numbers
11 Mar 13 - Who will be the next Pope? Bet on his holiness
25 Feb 13 - Cross the boundary with cricket betting
19 Feb 13 - Learn more about Australian rules football betting
28 Dec 12 - Ways to improve your betting in 2013
10 Dec 12 - Can Europe win third successive Mosconi Cup?
19 Oct 12 - WSOP Final Table: What the poker odds say
15 Oct 12 - Historical odds for Obama vs. Romney analysed
08 Oct 12 - Casino Return to Player (RTP) values explained
01 Oct 12 - An introduction to MTG Pro Tour
19 Aug 12 - Go off piste with winter sports betting
21 Jul 12 - Score a winner with handball betting
09 Jul 12 - Pot the jackpot with snooker betting
08 Jul 12 - Create a spike with volleyball betting
07 Jul 12 - Hit the Bullseye with Darts Betting
23 Jun 12 - Earn a profit with cycling betting

Pinnacle Puzzle

17 Apr 14 - Wisdom of the Crowd
25 Mar 14 - Guess The Number

Psychology

22 Jan 14 - How to improve your predictive skills
05 Nov 13 - Why bettors should understand heuristics
05 Nov 13 - How bettors make lazy judgements
05 Nov 13 - Knowing when the odds are against you
16 Aug 13 - What happens when crowds act like herds?
11 Jul 13 - The difference between sports and sports betting
26 Jun 13 - How confirmation bias affects your betting
17 May 13 - Learn how differing time frames affect risk perception
08 Apr 13 - Why players perform better when they’re losing
08 Apr 13 - Are winning streaks caused by great skill or good luck?
11 Mar 13 - Why we play lotteries but underweight rare events
13 Dec 12 - How superstition impedes betting
26 Oct 12 - What is the Gambler’s Fallacy?

Rugby

21 Jan 14 - Understanding HFA for Six Nations Rugby Union betting
26 Feb 13 - Understanding HFA for Six Nations rugby betting

Soccer

27 Feb 14 - Are West Ham undervalued again against the Handicap?
20 Feb 14 - Spurs undervalued on the road this season
27 Jan 14 - How does Villa’s style of play affect their home handicap performance?
15 Jan 14 - Handicap analysis for Chelsea vs. Manchester United
14 Jan 14 - How have the Champions League last 16 have performed on the handicap?
03 Jan 14 - 2013/14 Bundesliga handicap performance review
31 Dec 13 - Which Serie A teams are exceeding expectations on the handicap?
27 Dec 13 - Which La Liga teams are profitable on the handicap?
23 Dec 13 - Are Cardiff underrated at home against Southampton?
11 Dec 13 - Are Man City undervalued on the handicap against Arsenal?
05 Dec 13 - Norwich’s handicap value: a true representation ahead of WBA?
02 Dec 13 - Is Swansea’s home form affecting the punter ahead of Newcastle’s visit?
27 Nov 13 - Are Spurs underrated when United visit White Hart Lane?
22 Nov 13 - Are Bayern and Dortmund underperforming on the handicap?
16 Nov 13 - Samba your way to Brazilian Série A betting success
15 Nov 13 - Historic Merseyside Derby handicap data
13 Nov 13 - Is there a profit to be made in the Championship?
12 Nov 13 - What are the World Cup Qualifying Playoff trends?
07 Nov 13 - Examining historic handicap data for Man United vs. Arsenal
06 Nov 13 - Can Napoli inflict just a second home defeat on Juventus since January?
29 Oct 13 - Are Arsenal underrated in the Premier League?
25 Oct 13 - Barca vs. Madrid – who is performing better than expected this season
23 Oct 13 - Why Chelsea are exceeding bookmakers expectations in the EPL
16 Oct 13 - Where is the value in Swansea vs. Sunderland?
03 Oct 13 - Inconsistent start reflected in the odds
03 Oct 13 - Arsenal formidable on the road…and against the handicap
25 Sep 13 - Master vs. Apprentice: Mourinho takes on AVB
18 Sep 13 - Are bookmakers overvaluing City?
16 Sep 13 - Finding an edge in the Champions League
13 Sep 13 - Understanding the Europa League
12 Sep 13 - 8 important Champions League trends
12 Sep 13 - Are soccer expert’s predictions better than Pinnacle Sports’?
09 Sep 13 - Who will win the Derby d’Italia?
09 Sep 13 - Are bookmakers undervaluing Stoke City?
29 Aug 13 - Super Cup Numbers: Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea
22 Aug 13 - Great reasons to bet on the 2013/14 Serie A season
22 Aug 13 - Are Chelsea overrated for Man Utd game?
14 Aug 13 - How have the odds changed for EPL outrights?
12 Aug 13 - Home Field Advantage in the Premier League
12 Aug 13 - Try our new Premier League handicap table
09 Aug 13 - Poisson distribution for soccer betting
06 Aug 13 - 5 great reasons to bet on the Bundesliga
19 Jul 13 - How to gain an edge on preseason soccer friendlies
14 Jul 13 - Take on our Season Points Totals
10 Jul 13 - Learn more about Argentine Primera División betting
05 Jul 13 - Germany favourites to defend title
13 Jun 13 - Are Brazil overrated for the Confederations Cup?
04 Jun 13 - 13 Confederations Cup Trends
23 May 13 - Tracking the odds for the biggest club game
23 May 13 - Bayern Munich vs. Dortmund preview
17 May 13 - What the Champions League final trends suggest
10 May 13 - Europa League Final
09 May 13 - FA Cup final trends
26 Apr 13 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich: 7 Key Facts
08 Apr 13 - Learn how cards can affect soccer outcomes
04 Apr 13 - 5 trends for the last 8 Champions League teams
02 Apr 13 - Are clean sheets a dirty metric for rating goalkeepers?
11 Mar 13 - How do substitutions impact live soccer odds?
15 Feb 13 - Does trusting the Fibonacci betting system pay off?
11 Feb 13 - Where to look for profitable opportunities in-play
11 Feb 13 - How important is being at home for the second leg?
04 Jan 13 - How does the winter break affect soccer betting?
24 Dec 12 - Who will hold the advantage after first leg?
21 Dec 12 - Can Harry Redknapp save QPR from relegation?
16 Dec 12 - How playing fantasy soccer can help your betting
10 Dec 12 - Inevitable City would lose unbeaten home record
05 Dec 12 - How successful are the Champions League dropouts?
03 Dec 12 - Ivory Coast big favourites to lift trophy
28 Nov 12 - How often teams score in stoppage time?
23 Nov 12 - How have Rangers adapted to Scots Division III?
15 Nov 12 - When to bet against Real Madrid: cup hangovers
10 Nov 12 - Danger in betting against the minnows
01 Nov 12 - How to bet on the Europa League
01 Oct 12 - 7 important trends for Champions League betting
19 Sep 12 - What Are Soccer Asian Handicaps?
19 Sep 12 - How to calculate Home Field Advantage
19 Sep 12 - Do accumulators on favourites pay off?
09 Sep 12 - Can Juventus remain unbeaten in 2012/13?
31 Aug 12 - Five reasons why Dortmund win the Bundesliga
22 Aug 12 - Are Arsenal actually weaker without Song & Van Persie?
16 Aug 12 - Is it worth betting on Real Madrid & Barcelona at home?
04 Jun 10 - Trends & Statistics – How to Bet on the World Cup

Social Media

29 Jan 14 - Head of Sportsbook Q&A Transcript
17 Jan 14 - Live betting Q&A on Twitter, January 28th, 2014
22 Aug 13 - Pinnacle Sports’ Head of Sportsbook answers your questions
09 Aug 13 - Win €€€ with our Twitter competition
08 Aug 13 - Head of Sportsbook Q&A Transcript
15 Jul 13 - Live Q&A with Head of Sportsbook

Strategy

24 Apr 14 - What home set-up is best for in-play betting?
02 Apr 14 - Why use 1X2 market to place bets as Double Chance
24 Mar 14 - How Bayesian analysis can help you predict a sporting outcome
21 Mar 14 - How Pinnacle Sports offers an alternative to laying on Exchanges
14 Mar 14 - Why Pinnacle Sports offers more value than an Exchange
13 Mar 14 - Why your staking method is more important than who you back
05 Nov 13 - Learn how free bets work & their drawbacks
05 Nov 13 - How to pick a betting tipster and avoid the monkeys
05 Nov 13 - What does ‘getting an edge in betting’ really mean?
16 Sep 13 - How to win the lottery with Expected Value
17 Jun 13 - Using the 80/20 rule to scale the betting curve
02 May 13 - How baseball analysis can improve soccer betting
12 Dec 12 - How you’ll gain value from following @PinnacleSports
29 Nov 12 - Explaining handicaps, props, parlays and more
13 Nov 12 - What distinguishes winning & losing players?
30 Oct 12 - Does weather affect match outcomes?
04 Oct 12 - Why free bets actually come at a cost
25 Sep 12 - Understanding the significance of market movement
19 Sep 12 - How to calculate margins on 1×2 odds
19 Sep 12 - Explaining how bookmakers work with a coin
19 Sep 12 - How to calculate a 1×2 to handicap conversion
19 Sep 12 - Basic bet types explained
19 Sep 12 - What is arbitrage betting?
19 Sep 12 - Calculating Expected Value for sports betting
07 Sep 12 - What are betting exchanges & how do they work?

Tennis

24 Apr 14 - Does the market take world ranking into account efficiently?
11 Apr 14 - Factors to consider when betting on the Fed Cup
04 Apr 14 - Does the market value players with a Latino name correctly?
28 Mar 14 - Motivation or Pressure – does the market correctly assess the impact?
21 Mar 14 - Do the statistics suggest the tennis elite are in decline?
13 Mar 14 - Acclimatisation or Fatigue – does qualifying benefit tennis players?
07 Mar 14 - Does the Tennis market overvalue ATP players at home?
27 Feb 14 - Does the market take age into account in WTA Tennis?
21 Feb 14 - Do Tennis players ‘choke’ more against top opponents?
12 Feb 14 - How to find value on the lucky loser concept in tennis
07 Feb 14 - Can Williams win at Roland Garros?
07 Feb 14 - Will Nadal’s dominance at Roland Garros continue?
31 Jan 14 - Does the market over-react following a retirement?
23 Jan 14 - Does good or bad form impact a player’s chance of winning a match?
17 Jan 14 - Do favourites thrive at the business end of Grand Slam Tournaments?
10 Jan 14 - Are big servers handicapped in Grand Slam Tournaments?
27 Dec 13 - Can Williams win her first Australian Open since 2010?
27 Dec 13 - Can anyone stop Djokovic, Nadal or Murray lifting the ATP Australian Open trophy?
13 Nov 13 - We look at the opportunities in betting Challenger tennis
19 Aug 13 - Shortfalls of betting on short-priced Grand Slam favourites
21 Jun 13 - Will Williams Win Women’s Wimbledon?
17 Jun 13 - Who will win Wimbledon?
14 Jun 13 - How does Wimbledon’s surface affect play?
13 Jun 13 - Wimbledon tennis trends: 13 key trends
17 May 13 - How clay courts affect players at the French Open
17 May 13 - 12 French Open trends for Roland Garros
03 May 13 - The secret strength of break point receivers
20 Mar 13 - How often are the Top 5 tennis players beaten?
02 Mar 13 - Djokovic or Nadal for the French Open title?
08 Feb 13 - Does serving first give an advantage?
16 Jan 13 - Exploring Betfair’s limited Australian Open liquidity
15 Jan 13 - How five sets favours grand slam favourites
05 Dec 12 - Is a player only as good as their second serve?
26 Nov 12 - Can Rafael Nadal triumphantly return down under?
05 Nov 12 - Investigating ATP World Tour Final head-to-heads
15 Oct 12 - How do the ATP Top 8 perform against each other?
23 Aug 12 - Will Djokovic win the US Open on his serve?