Online Soccer Betting Strategy Tips

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SOCCER BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - BASELINE HANDICAPPING

Many handicappers use a universal handicapping system which can be used to set lines for any sport and requires only minimal adjustments for injuries and other situational factors. How did they know? For diehard handicappers playing at the Pinnacle Sports book, this is a basic betting tool.

SOCCER BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - USING STATISTICAL MODELLING TO HELP PREDICT RESULTS

The Pinnacle Sportsbook prides itself on offering the smarter way to bet, and bettors can see this for themselves by working out odds for themselves, and seeing the difference between real and implied odds. You can use a simple statistical model to assess the chances of any particular soccer result, and score-line, then compare this to the implied probability of the best odds that Pinnacle, or any other bookmaker offers. We can use as an example the first fixture alphabetically from the opening fixture of the 2009/10 Premiership season between Aston Villa and Wigan, using last season’s full data to predict the outcome, and then handicap the game.

SOCCER BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - USING HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE TO BET ASIAN HANDICAPS

The Pinnacle Sportsbook prides itself on offering the smarter way to bet, and offers the best odds on a range of betting markets, in particular soccer Asian Handicaps, priced at less than 102%. Asian Handicaps are interesting area for soccer bettors to try to derive an edge. One look at last season’s English Premier League table will tell you that home teams scored more goals than visiting teams (532 v 410). If you look at the table of English football league for the year it was founded (1888) - and each year since – the same is true. QED – home teams enjoy a natural advantage of away teams. This might be stating the obvious, but many bettors fail to understand the importance of Home Field Advantage (HFA). Bookmakers use HFA as the basis of their odds setting, particularly in Asian Handicaps. The challenge that bettors face is to be more accurate than the bookmaker in estimating the strength of HFA.