Online Baseball Betting Strategy Tips

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BASEBALL BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - PROFITABLE OPPORTUNITIES FROM MLB RUNLINE BETS

With Major League Baseball in full swing, there are many wagering options available to the savvy player. One that is often overlooked is the run line bet, which is the MLB equivalent of an NFL 1.5 point spread. While nearly every player, professional or otherwise knows what the ‘3’ in the NFL is worth, far fewer understand the value of the ‘1.5’ in baseball.

BASEBALL BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - UNDERSTANDING RUNLINE BETS

Great baseball minds at PinnacleSports.com have for some time been debating what factors can influence the tendency for the home team to win by one run about 17% of the time, and road teams to win by one run a little over 10% of the time? In the bottom of the ninth or later inning, the game is immediately over when the home team is ahead by one run, turning a lot of games into one-run wins, which in turn makes that one run extremely valuable. That run gains even more value when the total is low, which makes it much harder to win by more than one run. Conversely, that run is less valuable for high totals. The value of the run also varies slightly depending on the money-line for the game.

BASEBALL BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - FIRST HALF (FIVE INNINGS) MLB STRATEGIES

The great advantage of betting on the first five innings in baseball, otherwise known as the first half, is that your fate is in the hands of the two starting pitchers. You can safely ignore both benches and both bullpens which puts any handicapper in a much stronger position as it is mostly random which bench players are used and which pitchers come in from the pen to face particular hitters. This helps in two ways.

BASEBALL BETTING STRATEGY TIPS - STRATEGIES FOR BETTING ON TEAM TOTALS

Normally when you handicap a game in any sport, you have to evaluate an individual team’s offensive and defensive capabilities. The performance of one during a game will usually influence the other, such as when and where the offense will receive the ball and under what circumstances. Baseball is different as regardless of how well the offense or defense are performing, each team receives twenty-seven outs to score as many runs as they can, and a further twenty seven outs to limit the opposing team to as few runs as possible.